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Polymarket wallet 0xc8515ee3b1f4fa6c6771021d0d38a012a75a92f3 · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 670 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 743 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$235 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,242 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 152 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,250 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.