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Polymarket wallet 0xc9045549f900b339860014cbad816050c50ce7fe · on Polymarket since Jun 23, 2025 · also shown as Improbable-Architect
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 691 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Cardi B and Stefon Diggs breakup before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Meta announce WhatsApp sale in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 46 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 486d | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes45¢ | $5 |
| 486d | Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? | BuyNo28¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Will Meta announce WhatsApp sale in 2025? | BuyYes7¢ | $5 |
| 487d | Will Meta announce WhatsApp sale in 2025? | BuyYes7¢ | $5 |
| 487d | Cardi B and Stefon Diggs breakup before August? | BuyYes8¢ | $2 |
| 487d | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BuyYes19¢ | $5 |
| 487d | Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year? | BuyYes14¢ | $5 |
| 487d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 487d | Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? | BuyNo48¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.