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Polymarket wallet 0xc9534ef2cf45ac940a432980206fac63b78c2220 · on Polymarket since Dec 1, 2024 · also shown as Ragged-Pyridine
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 636 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 132 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 277d | Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo20¢ | $26 |
| 277d | Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BuyYes67¢ | $40 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes38¢ | $8 |
| 283d | Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes36¢ | $3 |
| 647d | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo4¢ | $19 |
| 692d | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo28¢ | $32 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.