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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 644d | longtern2 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,746 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 644d | denizz9 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $35,073 | +$10,496 +30% | 4 |
| 644d |  Scrungey | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes100¢ | $1,630 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 644d | Liquidifier3 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,989 | −$86 −1.7% | — |
| 644d |  MotherTheresa2 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $5,619 | +$848 +15% | 4 |
| 644d | Normal-Logo | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,246 | −$91 −2.8% | — |
| 644d |  Car17 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $42,168 | +$13,529 +32% | 4 |
| 645d | surf2 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,897 | +$208 +1.0% | 4 |
| 645d | DragonRider-8193 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,958 | +$865 +22% | 4 |
| 645d | DragonRider-819 | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$26 −2.5% | — |
| 645d | denizz2 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,241 | −$897 −28% | — |
| 646d | Liquidifier4 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $13,405 | +$500 +3.7% | 4 |
| 646d | commeowder | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,694 | −$67 −4.0% | — |
| 646d |  nicekitty | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$100 +2.0% | 4 |
| 647d | bluetitle | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,846 | −$29 −1.6% | — |
| 647d |  mombil3 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,118 | +$882 +17% | 4 |
| 647d |  png10244 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $10,249 | +$1,420 +14% | 4 |
| 647d |  Erasmus.4 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $9,614 | +$1,639 +17% | 4 |
| 648d |  Rhaegal | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | −$255 −13% | — |
| 649d |  RememberAmalek | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | +$1,022 +100% | — |
| 649d | DawnOfYemen | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | +$149 +11% | 4 |
| 649d |  MEPP3 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $7,686 | +$3,617 +47% | 4 |
| 649d |  FATMAN | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,354 | +$916 +39% | 4 |
| 650d | KokoVeLeon33 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $11,698 | −$7,196 −62% | — |
| 655d | KokoVeLeon36 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $21,400 | +$5,814 +27% | 4 |
| 658d | qqqrelive2 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $5,968 | −$5,968 −100% | 8 |
| 658d |  FUNDI | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | +$800 +50% | 4 |
| 658d | Car8 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $24,653 | −$6,502 −26% | — |
| 659d |  itsfine3 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $8,368 | −$5,135 −61% | — |
| 660d |  mr.ozi | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | −$1,230 −69% | — |
| 662d | BlindGibbon | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 665d | Trader2936 | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$760 +61% | 4 |
| 667d | commeowder | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$991 +64% | 4 |
| 667d | itsfine | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $3,238 | +$2,070 +64% | 4 |
| 668d | Rhaegal | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | +$697 +45% | 4 |
| 668d | UpTight | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$465 −45% | — |
| 668d | RememberAmalek | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $7,874 | −$7,874 −100% | 12 |
| 674d | agent-716492 | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | −$365 −19% | — |
| 675d | Idontwantausername | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,798 | −$1,002 −17% | — |
| 676d | MalakaLLC | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo16¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 7 |
| 685d | Cool600 | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$480 −43% | — |
| 687d |  BigPapaBrunson | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | −$482 −33% | — |
| 690d | Khang1232 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $7,802 | −$7,006 −90% | — |
| 691d | cashy | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$465 +45% | 4 |
| 692d | Cool600 | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | +$522 +41% | 4 |
| 693d |  Parliament | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $4,058 | −$2,598 −64% | — |
| 695d | Aluz | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,117 | −$1,117 −100% | 4 |
| 696d |  Dionisnime | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,504 | −$1,504 −100% | 5 |
| 696d |  LucyCross | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$675 −64% | — |
| 696d | xyz12345xyz | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,835 | +$1,835 +100% | — |
| 697d | Dionisnime | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | −$1,603 −101% | — |
| 702d | Parliament | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$3,157 +105% | 4 |
| 704d | fraggy692 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $3,205 | −$3,205 −100% | 4 |
| 705d | BlunderBusterr | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,814 | −$1,814 −100% | 4 |
| 708d | Car2 fills | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,977 | +$2,977 +100% | — |
| 709d | 0x2370…0e10 | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | −$1,391 −104% | — |
| 709d | Suburban-Cleric | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 710d | 4533ffdd | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | — |
| 710d | 55dfdd | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$1,062 −100% | — |
| 710d | 5566445 | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | −$1,021 −100% | 4 |
4brekush511 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between November 4, 2024 and April 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hamas military conflict must pertain to the entirety of Gaza, and be declared through official channels by both parties. A humanitarian pause will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.