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Polymarket wallet 0xca38bc7199d9ecadd79a83d6944fee518d8ac70e · on Polymarket since Jan 30, 2026 · also shown as Shallow-Hedge
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,601 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$138 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48,410 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$317 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 160,124 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,166 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24,340 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$365 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48,956 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$689 −100% |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,266,708 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,814 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 275,631 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,670 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35,201 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$353 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,210 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$223 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.