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Polymarket wallet 0xcac0868d152de43c7f6eaaab243de86c5056aabb · on Polymarket since Apr 6, 2025 · also shown as Instructive-Transformation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$3 +270% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +49% |
| 54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| 2025 April hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in April 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US military action against Iran in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 565d | Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | BuyNo18¢ | $1 |
| 565d | 2025 April hottest on record? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 565d | Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4? | BuyNo46¢ | $2 |
| 565d | Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in April 2025? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 565d | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025? | BuyNo67¢ | $1 |
| 565d | 54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday? | BuyYes85¢ | $1 |
| 565d | Israel military action against Iran before July? | BuyYes27¢ | $1 |
| 565d | Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April? | BuyNo70¢ | $1 |
| 565d | US military action against Iran in April? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.