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Polymarket wallet 0xcb1ed82b47fb55699f659659223bd55316d1601c · on Polymarket since Apr 20, 2026 · also shown as Joyful-Toast
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 4,286 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$28 −93% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 329 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 231 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 292 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo30¢ | $100 |
| 186d | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BuyYes42¢ | $27 |
| 186d | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BuyYes6¢ | $20 |
| 186d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | SellNo6¢ | $147 |
| 187d | QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 20? | BuyUp10¢ | $12 |
| 187d | QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 20? | BuyUp12¢ | $15 |
| 187d | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 20? | SellUp10¢ | $27 |
| 187d | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 20? | BuyUp11¢ | $31 |
| 187d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BuyNo8¢ | $196 |
| 187d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | SellNo8¢ | $167 |
| 187d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BuyNo10¢ | $200 |
| 187d | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes1¢ | $30 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.