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Polymarket wallet 0xcd0d55a1fa80fd1ef34c3a44b46c0f815a001b79 · on Polymarket since Dec 19, 2024 · also shown as Nautical-Chili
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Pope in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 43¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$7 +133% |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $24 |
| 585d | Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21? | BuyYes30¢ | $1 |
| 585d | Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21? | BuyYes30¢ | $2 |
| 585d | Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21? | BuyYes30¢ | $3 |
| 585d | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes12¢ | $15 |
| 589d | Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May? | BuyNo14¢ | $3 |
| 589d | Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May? | BuyNo14¢ | $2 |
| 589d | New Pope in 2025? | BuyYes43¢ | $5 |
| 589d | Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | BuyYes36¢ | $5 |
| 589d | Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May? | BuyNo14¢ | $1 |
| 589d | Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | BuyYes31¢ | $6 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.