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Polymarket wallet 0xce11b2c20b7c0e121cf2a26ba746b227045a7538 · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Apt-Thirst
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 228d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10? | BuyNo>99¢ | $61 |
| 235d | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C or below on March 3? | BuyNo>99¢ | $62 |
| 238d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo99¢ | $39 |
| 256d | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $40 |
| 262d | US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $40 |
| 269d | Will Solana dip to $40 in January? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20 |
| 272d | Heat vs. Jazz | BuyHeat97¢ | $30 |
| 272d | Heat vs. Jazz | BuyHeat97¢ | $550 |
| 272d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $1,563 |
| 272d | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $7 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.