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Polymarket wallet 0xcefc193c5aeb98d9481cd0f3133770e0b2848b65 · on Polymarket since Jun 23, 2025 · also shown as Heartfelt-Zither
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Another US military action against Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 84 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 439d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | BuyNo54¢ | $45 |
| 464d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo56¢ | $25 |
| 464d | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyYes8¢ | $2 |
| 488d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes94¢ | $3 |
| 488d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyYes29¢ | $15 |
| 488d | Another US military action against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes23¢ | $10 |
| 488d | Will Trump declare war on Iran by Friday? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.