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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +5 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $14,455 | −$3,280 −23% | — | |
| 485d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $227,542 | +$228 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 485d | VvVv | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 485d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $379,339 | +$12,387 +3.3% | 20 | |
| 485d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,788 | −$169 −1.3% | — | |
| 485d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $28,380 | +$170 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 485d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $56,374 | +$733 +1.3% | 20 | |
| 485d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,995 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 485d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 485d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $18,193 | −$533 −2.9% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $9,244 | −$967 −10% | — | |
| 486d | VLONA2 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $13,007 | −$26 −0.2% | — |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,878 | +$42 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 486d | Snoorrason3 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,115 | +$50 +0.2% | 20 |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,001 | +$80 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 486d | dzsibenaja3 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $49,880 | −$120 −0.2% | — |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,793 | −$640 −6.5% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $273,845 | +$471 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 486d | Liquidifier3 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $17,365 | −$35 −0.2% | — |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,714 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 486d | mangotree2 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,615 | +$19 +0.3% | 20 |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,093 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,585 | −$13 −0.2% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,803 | +$91 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 486d | Drowerz | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,471 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,545 | −$202 −3.7% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,256 | −$5 −0.2% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,258 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $10,819 | −$22 −0.2% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $20,369 | −$41 −0.2% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,357 | −$144 −2.3% | — | |
| 486d | MAGA.ONE2 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,747 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 486d | cqs3 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $52,869 | −$142 −0.3% | — |
| 486d | qwertyasdfghjkl | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $196,914 | +$395 +0.2% | 20 |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,970 | −$30 −0.3% | — | |
| 486d | umniybet1 | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,463 | −$34 −0.3% | — |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,587 | −$35 −0.3% | — | |
| 486d | hotsecretary | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 486d | 0x253d…33075 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $16,962 | +$359 +2.1% | 20 |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,249 | −$242 −3.9% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $12,743 | −$38 −0.3% | — | |
| 486d | dzsibenaja3 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $27,975 | +$192 +0.7% | 20 |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,980 | −$20 −0.4% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,776 | −$17 −0.3% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $14,955 | −$45 −0.3% | — | |
| 486d | haohua2 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,986 | −$244 −2.4% | — |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes>99¢ | $13,534 | −$41 −0.3% | — | |
| 486d | aviato3 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $18,160 | −$6,840 −38% | — |
| 486d | Liquidifier2 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,962 | +$38 +0.2% | 20 |
| 486d | rwo2 fills | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,910 | +$90 +0.3% | 20 |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $75,867 | +$152 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,078 | −$125 −0.7% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $57,785 | −$22,231 −38% | — | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $295,013 | +$1,452 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,656 | +$53 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $79,463 | +$239 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,093 | +$30 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,880 | +$120 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $158,756 | +$1,868 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,356 | +$20 +0.6% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities. Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector. Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify. Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.