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Polymarket wallet 0xd2d6bee4682beae46ef628a5ddf33fde69f0f460 · on Polymarket since Jan 9, 2026 · also shown as Arid-Academy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 35 | 57¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$18 −90% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 59 | 17¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$8 −83% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 42d | Yes | 65 | 15¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10,464 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,857 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.