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Polymarket wallet 0xd4c1f431fce788263381e174f2fc883765e97b24 · on Polymarket since Dec 4, 2025 · also shown as Muddy-Manacle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,238 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$619 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,338 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,169 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,876 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,438 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,066 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$533 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,110 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$555 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,792 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$896 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,978 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$989 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.