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Polymarket wallet 0xd4c5363103495490bf5f9823990074997bf48a09 · on Polymarket since Feb 16, 2026 · also shown as Stable-Cosset
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 351 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $100 | −$5 −5.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 500 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $23 | −$28 −55% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,592 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 284 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BuyNo30¢ | $108 |
| 214d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 214d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyNo1¢ | $20 |
| 214d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 216d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyNo24¢ | $12 |
| 219d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyNo26¢ | $3 |
| 219d | Will JD Vance say "Epic Fury" during Michigan visit? | SellYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 219d | Will JD Vance say "Epic Fury" during Michigan visit? | BuyYes2¢ | $6 |
| 219d | Will JD Vance say "Hormuz" during Michigan visit? | BuyYes16¢ | $5 |
| 220d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyNo31¢ | $30 |
| 220d | Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election? | BuyNo7¢ | $5 |
| 220d | Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election? | BuyNo23¢ | $50 |
| 220d | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat? | BuyNo10¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.