| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 62¢ → 74¢ | $15 | +$2 +19% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $15 | −$1 −7.1% |
| Will PNV win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 70¢ | $14 | −$1 −7.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 77¢ → 69¢ | $14 | −$2 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 66¢ | $13 | −$2 −14% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $8 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win 9-11 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $5 | −$0 −6.9% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $75 in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 39 | 31¢ → 12¢ | $4 | −$8 −63% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will Microsoft AI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 4 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 4 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 4 | 37¢ → 51¢ | $2 | +$1 +36% |
| Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 53¢ → 61¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Ends in 11d | No | 3 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $2 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 28, 2026 and January 3, 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 2 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?Ends in 250d | Yes | 20 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $2 | −$0 −14% |
| Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$3 −63% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027?Ends in 79d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.0 on October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1 | 68¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +42% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 42¢ → 34¢ | $1 | −$0 −20% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +54% |
| Will PP win the Melilla seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 20 | 25¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$4 −80% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$0 −6.5% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 2 | 34¢ → 48¢ | $1 | +$0 +41% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 90% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$2 −76% |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1 | 63¢ → 60¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 20 | 30¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$6 −92% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 12%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2 | 18¢ → 19¢ | $0 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 9%-12%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4 | 16¢ → 11¢ | $0 | −$0 −31% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 150,000 and 170,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2 | 14¢ → 18¢ | $0 | +$0 +30% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 4 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $0 | +$0 +108% |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1 | 35¢ → 27¢ | $0 | −$0 −24% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 1 | 42¢ → 17¢ | $0 | −$0 −60% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 2 | 14¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$0 −53% |
| Will Meta have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 18 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −94% |
| Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 8 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −85% |
| Will HiDream have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 24 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will Tencent have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 23 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −69% |
| Will Lightricks have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 27 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will Tencent have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −96% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 8 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −94% |
| Will Black Forest Labs have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −95% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 7 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −88% |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −85% |
| Will Pika have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −74% |
| Will Runway have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 8 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −97% |
| Will KlingAI have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 4 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −17% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 2 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 74 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 41 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 95 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 497 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 65 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 31 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 59 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 219 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$196 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 56 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 51 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 23 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 126 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 56 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 54 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 70 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 59 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 61 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 53 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 96 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 59 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 53 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 98 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 56 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 73 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 43 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 47 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 106 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - April 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 69 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 179 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$163 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 58 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 29 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 59 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 158 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$142 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 79 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 59 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 55 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 49 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 54 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
