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Polymarket wallet 0xd9f46d6bc4a9e5568ea5a0d76cb209e848e8412a · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026 · also shown as Natural-Semester
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 870 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,129 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$350 −100% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 208 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,825 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,045 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 202 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 286 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionSettled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,857 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.