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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,886 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,271 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$499 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,407 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,710 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 290d | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ | $1,895 |
| 290d | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ | $2,000 |
| 290d | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day? | BuyYes8¢ | $150 |
| 318d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes97¢ | $2,946 |
| 318d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $200 |
| 318d | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BuyNo99¢ | $1,000 |
| 369d | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | SellYes2¢ | $192 |
| 370d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $49 |
| 370d | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
| 370d | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $450 |
| 370d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $450 |
| 370d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes95¢ | $3,700 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.