Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 92% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 88¢ · 95¢ (7¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d |  TwoEyes | December 31 | BuyYes80¢ → 92¢ | $12,878 | +$1,851 +14% | 2 |
| 127d | Dafu07158 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $37,215 | +$567 +1.5% | 2 |
| 206d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,215 | −$17 −0.5% | — |
| 207d | QMG-SCALAR2 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,965 | −$35 −0.5% | — |
| 207d | OLOTH | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,972 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 207d | QMG-CORE10 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $31,457 | +$866 +2.8% | 2 |
| 207d | QMG-SCALAR4 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,360 | +$298 +1.8% | 2 |
| 219d | fed2610 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $107,571 | +$4,618 +4.3% | 2 |
| 227d |  AlexiosV | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,412 | −$34 −1.0% | — |
| 249d | jhazulay | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | −$31 −1.6% | — |
| 253d | AlexiosV | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$39 +3.6% | 2 |
| 254d | 0x2b36…473b | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | −$119 −5.9% | — |
| 255d |  x262 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,175 | +$572 +4.7% | 2 |
| 258d | atlosas | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$50 −4.5% | — |
| 260d | ShayaEredyon | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,746 | −$93 −5.3% | — |
| 261d | mastree2 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,005 | −$343 −5.7% | — |
| 263d | fed26 | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,316 | +$1,084 +25% | 2 |
| 271d | ilosemymoney | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,461 | −$157 −6.4% | — |
| 273d |  Occult3 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,088 | −$590 −5.3% | — |
| 281d |  TimJang | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,461 | −$285 −5.2% | — |
| 284d |  no1yet | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,253 | −$1,253 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | Zigota | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $2,099 | −$2,099 −100% | 8 |
| 288d | johnlee12 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $4,434 | −$4,434 −100% | 13 |
| 289d | claudecoder34 | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | +$67 +4.6% | 2 |
| 290d | 0xda59…3de92 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,895 | +$148 +3.8% | 2 |
| 290d | scin | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,466 | −$180 −5.2% | — |
| 290d | 0x8003…7175 | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | +$54 +4.2% | 2 |
| 290d | Bubbly-Outrigger | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$42 +4.2% | 2 |
| 290d |  ApexPiggy | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | −$92 −6.0% | — |
| 290d | mastree3 fills | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,350 | +$555 +7.6% | 2 |
| 290d | atloveroa | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,614 | −$735 −16% | — |
| 290d | cako | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,740 | −$324 −8.7% | — |
| 290d | scin | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$146 +4.2% | 2 |
| 290d | PuggyTrades | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | −$690 −38% | — |
| 290d | shakshukich | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$255 +13% | 2 |
| 290d |  glueeater | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,137 | +$572 +11% | 2 |
| 290d | Occult | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,031 | +$533 +26% | 2 |
| 290d | jo-shmo | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,905 | +$774 +27% | 2 |
| 290d | rebn | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$952 +88% | 2 |
| 290d | atloveroa | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo28¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$3,945 +257% | 4 |
| 290d | oliver333 | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyNo26¢ → 100¢ | $2,121 | +$6,084 +287% | 5 |
| 323d | Weary-Fibre | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | −$1,013 −100% | 3 |
TwoEyes16,842 shares
CherryB16643 shares
Gl4d180 shares
kinderSman93 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market. An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 92¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 92%.