| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 190 | 39¢ → 100¢ | $190 | +$117 +160% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 31¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$69 +223% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 100 | 26¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$71 +275% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 94 | 35¢ → 100¢ | $94 | +$61 +186% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 45¢ → 100¢ | $77 | +$42 +122% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 35¢ → 100¢ | $75 | +$49 +186% |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 7d | No | 100 | 21¢ → 74¢ | $74 | +$53 +252% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 29¢ → 100¢ | $70 | +$50 +245% |
| Will "Other Mommy" score at least 18 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 30¢ → 100¢ | $60 | +$42 +233% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 29¢ → 100¢ | $60 | +$43 +245% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 30¢ → 100¢ | $55 | +$39 +233% |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Ends in 159d | No | 100 | 19¢ → 53¢ | $53 | +$34 +179% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$39 +439% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 160 | 23¢ → 27¢ | $42 | +$6 +15% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 34¢ → 31¢ | $31 | −$3 −8.8% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 26¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$22 +285% |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $30 | +$3 +9.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $29 | −$4 −11% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $28 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 80 | 27¢ → 35¢ | $28 | +$6 +30% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $28 | +$7 +31% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 99 | 32¢ → 27¢ | $26 | −$5 −17% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 50 | 38¢ → 53¢ | $26 | +$7 +38% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 159d | No | 100 | 28¢ → 23¢ | $23 | −$5 −18% |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 16¢ → 76¢ | $23 | +$18 +371% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $22 | −$2 −6.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | No | 29 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $21 | −$1 −4.6% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 28¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$15 +256% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 21 | 27¢ → 98¢ | $21 | +$15 +264% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 45¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$11 +122% |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.7B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 30¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$14 +233% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$15 +270% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 26¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$15 +285% |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 47¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$11 +115% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 29¢ → 100¢ | $19 | +$14 +245% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 12¢ → 100¢ | $19 | +$17 +733% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 34¢ → 19¢ | $19 | −$15 −43% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $19 | +$7 +56% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 100 | 30¢ → 18¢ | $18 | −$13 −42% |
| Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | Yes | 30 | 24¢ → 56¢ | $17 | +$10 +135% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 28¢ → 100¢ | $17 | +$12 +257% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $17 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 32¢ → 100¢ | $17 | +$11 +213% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 200 | 17¢ → 8¢ | $15 | −$19 −56% |
| Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $14 | −$17 −55% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 28¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$10 +257% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 100 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $14 | −$4 −21% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Ends in 81d | Yes | 100 | 18¢ → 13¢ | $13 | −$5 −26% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 57¢ | $12 | +$7 +150% |
| Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 35 | 21¢ → 33¢ | $11 | +$4 +55% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 56¢ | $11 | +$3 +41% |
| Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.05B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 30¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$8 +233% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 18¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$8 −44% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 28¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$7 +257% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 28¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$7 +257% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 26¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$17 −63% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Ends in 87d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 19¢ | $9 | −$2 −19% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 19¢ | $9 | −$3 −22% |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 100 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $9 | −$10 −53% |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Ends ended | Yes | 15 | 28¢ → 56¢ | $8 | +$4 +98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 23¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$6 +335% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 28¢ → 80¢ | $8 | +$5 +184% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | Yes | 33 | 28¢ → 24¢ | $8 | −$1 −14% |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 100 | 26¢ → 8¢ | $8 | −$18 −71% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 25¢ → 15¢ | $8 | −$5 −40% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $7 | −$4 −37% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 28¢ → 36¢ | $7 | +$2 +29% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 34¢ | $7 | +$1 +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 29¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$5 +245% |
| Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 140 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$13 −67% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 100 | 25¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$19 −74% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$2 −21% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 31¢ | $6 | +$1 +22% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 30¢ | $6 | −$1 −17% |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Ends in 128d | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$10 −63% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 7 | 27¢ → 89¢ | $6 | +$4 +230% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 26 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $6 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$19 −77% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$4 +355% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 27¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$4 +270% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 34¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +194% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 29¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$4 +245% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 44¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$4 −44% |
| Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | Yes | 100 | 23¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$18 −80% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$1 −17% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 20 | 21¢ → 23¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $4 | −$5 −55% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 100 | 25¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$21 −83% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 14 | 35¢ → 31¢ | $4 | −$1 −11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 21¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$3 +376% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 36¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$14 −79% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$2 −33% |
| Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Ends in 249d | No | 100 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$10 −73% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 34¢ → 17¢ | $3 | −$3 −50% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 20 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $3 | −$0 −11% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$9 −76% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +233% |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 434d | Yes | 42 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $3 | −$4 −61% |
