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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs KuwaitSettled - ready to redeem | Kuwait | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239d | Trump out as President by March 31? | SellYes2¢ | $2 |
| 239d | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SellYes1¢ | $1 |
| 239d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellNo8¢ | $1 |
| 239d | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | SellYes1¢ | $0 |
| 239d | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | BuyNo2¢ | $1 |
| 239d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo9¢ | $1 |
| 239d | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 239d | T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait | BuyKuwait<1¢ | $1 |
| 239d | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 239d | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | BuyYes1¢ | $0 |
| 239d | Trump out as President by March 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.