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Polymarket wallet 0xdcfad48211039236d72568eba35e853508b28aba · on Polymarket since Oct 26, 2024 · also shown as Threadbare-Scorn
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump convicted of another felony before election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trump wins every swing state?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| 2024 October hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 727d | Bitcoin new all time high in 2024? | BuyNo30¢ | $30 |
| 727d | Trump convicted of another felony before election? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 727d | GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024? | BuyYes28¢ | $16 |
| 727d | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes48¢ | $10 |
| 727d | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyNo70¢ | $47 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.