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Polymarket wallet 0xdf482e3d5d2150a4bf3f587d545e23c2a07d136d · on Polymarket since Mar 30, 2026 · also shown as Likely-Tinderbox-Elm
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,110 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,235 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | >99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,066 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,326 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.