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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +170% |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Settled - ready to redeem | Harris | 2 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +56% |
| Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +32% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 81¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 738d | Who will 538 predict to win the election? | BuyHarris64¢ | $1 |
| 738d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes81¢ | $1 |
| 738d | Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election? | BuyYes76¢ | $1 |
| 738d | Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024? | BuyYes37¢ | $1 |
| 738d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes64¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.