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Polymarket wallet 0xe238e9bb75e57c446adb9aab0a9dd7b1fb22acdf · on Polymarket since Feb 21, 2025 · also shown as Ecstatic-Quotation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US military action against Iran by Sunday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 359d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31? | BuyNo86¢ | $5 |
| 359d | Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 5, 2025? | SellYes90¢ | $4 |
| 359d | Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 5, 2025? | BuyYes93¢ | $4 |
| 359d | Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? | SellNo98¢ | $7 |
| 376d | Will Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit? | BuyYes87¢ | $3 |
| 376d | Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? | BuyNo57¢ | $4 |
| 389d | Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 1? | BuyYes74¢ | $3 |
| 396d | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 23-29? | BuyYes90¢ | $5 |
| 490d | US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo87¢ | $2 |
| 490d | Blanchfield vs. Barber | SellBlanchfield50¢ | $2 |
| 522d | Blanchfield vs. Barber | BuyBlanchfield67¢ | $3 |
| 577d | Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | BuyYes74¢ | $6 |
| 577d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SellYes95¢ | $5 |
| 606d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes99¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.