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Polymarket wallet 0xe4a1b890bd45ce549add2fce2ca14ccc8137e2bf · on Polymarket since Jun 9, 2026 · also shown as Defenseless-Comedy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 6,221 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $5,630 | +$218 +4.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 5,288 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $4,997 | +$238 +5.0% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82d | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BuyNo87¢ | $5,466 |
| 84d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $1,160 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $181 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $452 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $110 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $124 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $136 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $210 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $172 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $86 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $82 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $452 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo90¢ | $1,625 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SellNo96¢ | $8,595 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SellNo96¢ | $5 |
| 85d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SellNo96¢ | $1,611 |
| 137d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $10,000 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.