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Polymarket wallet 0xe4aaa189aca9d96fbd07d94252544e7ef9e03a65 · on Polymarket since Mar 14, 2026 · also shown as Afraid-Crawdad
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $3 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 946 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Spread: Grêmio Novorizontino (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Grêmio Novorizontino | 648 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Spread: Moldova (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Moldova | 614 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Nicaragua win on 2026-03-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 469 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Poland vs. Albania: O/U 4.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 584 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-03-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 433 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.