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Polymarket wallet 0xe6c7c2251b06230a9aaba980d04706b11b862ddf · on Polymarket since Dec 30, 2025 · also shown as Flawed-Manager
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 26 | 56¢ → 97¢ | $25 | +$10 +72% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 149 | 19¢ → 10¢ | $14 | −$15 −50% |
| US bank failure by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 75 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Grok 4.20 released by January 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Grok 4.20 released by April 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 220 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.