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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 456 | 37¢ → 65¢ | $299 | +$132 +79% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 180 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $176 | +$9 +5.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 415 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $48 | −$35 −43% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 190 | 44¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$74 −90% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 130 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 361 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$167 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $83 |
| 25d | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes44¢ | $83 |
| 53d | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BuyNo46¢ | $171 |
| 53d | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo37¢ | $167 |
| 53d | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2? | BuyNo64¢ | $84 |
| 53d | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $84 |
| 53d | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $83 |
| 53d | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $160 |
| 53d | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $7 |
| 54d | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo79¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.