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Polymarket wallet 0xe8bb70e994991fe34e09b4e032f474310c1c9e52 · on Polymarket since Sep 19, 2025 · also shown as Motionless-Counterforce
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 208 | 5¢ → 100¢ | $208 | +$197 +1823% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 206 | 16¢ → 100¢ | $206 | +$172 +513% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 123 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 247 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 558 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.