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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$4 +45% |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 99d | Yes | 36 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −75% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| VEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 218d | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20? | BuyYes12¢ | $5 |
| 218d | VEO 4 released by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 219d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 219d | Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 219d | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 219d | Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? | BuyYes69¢ | $10 |
| 219d | Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? | BuyYes8¢ | $3 |
| 219d | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BuyYes26¢ | $5 |
| 219d | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BuyYes6¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.