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Polymarket wallet 0xebc59318b0a070c06fa171bd1d2f485b16364fe7 · on Polymarket since Jun 28, 2024 · also shown as Stale-Screw
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 2,331 | 56¢ → 34¢ | $781 | −$528 −40% |
| Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,602 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$177 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,950 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,006 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$107 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,070 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 23 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.