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Polymarket wallet 0xebc5940c132877aa3590e203d37b06a8487f17b5 · on Polymarket since Jun 3, 2026 · also shown as Splendid-Shin
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 62 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $54 | +$4 +9.0% |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 250 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $12 | −$8 −38% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 48 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.4% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 274 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 25 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$1 −16% |
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 42 | 12¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$3 −58% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 31 | 16¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$4 −87% |
| Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11m | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ | $30 |
| 12m | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 57d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $4 |
| 57d | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 57d | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 57d | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo70¢ | $20 |
| 57d | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BuyYes74¢ | $30 |
| 57d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $10 |
| 57d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $5 |
| 141d | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $5 |
| 143d | Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election? | BuyYes10¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.