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Polymarket wallet 0xed465d8ee6f4a8f3732b4bbce5d8cd54b13acc5a · on Polymarket since Nov 24, 2025 · also shown as Thirsty-Pond
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 823 | 36¢ → 14¢ | $111 | −$189 −63% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,146 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $74 | −$226 −75% |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 620 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $46 | +$16 +52% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?Ends in 433d | Yes | 1,026 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $37 | −$60 −62% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 3,533 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $25 | −$15 −38% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.