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Polymarket wallet 0xef0fa1e97b84f7b7ee6a15b7f6623b6952f11871 · on Polymarket since Feb 17, 2026 · also shown as Heavy-Larch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Paddy Pimblett | 107 | 43¢ → 100¢ | $107 | +$61 +133% |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 435 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Conor McGregor | 357 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,455 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,050 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 342 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104d | UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BuyPaddy Pimblett43¢ | $47 |
| 104d | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BuyConor McGregor28¢ | $104 |
| 164d | Will XRP reach $2.60 in May? | BuyYes1¢ | $46 |
| 194d | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $50 |
| 236d | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $50 |
| 242d | Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
| 242d | Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
| 247d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BuyUp11¢ | $5 |
| 247d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $10 |
| 247d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $10 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? | SellYes<1¢ | $4 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.