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Polymarket wallet 0xef1c0d4c00242156c236060b6497dec1c058dc44 · on Polymarket since Oct 7, 2025 · also shown as Frayed-Ton
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 58 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 566 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 54 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 28, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bucknell Bison vs. Lafayette Leopards (W)Settled - ready to redeem | Bucknell Bison | 317 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.