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Polymarket wallet 0xfae6007a078baecaf737d87a5401b06336bf0c49 · on Polymarket since Nov 1, 2025 · also shown as Livid-Pup
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 58 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$4 −70% |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 230 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 344d | China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $6 |
| 344d | Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31? | SellYes1¢ | $1 |
| 344d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | SellYes1¢ | $1 |
| 344d | Maduro out in 2025? | SellYes16¢ | $9 |
| 344d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SellYes16¢ | $14 |
| 355d | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | SellYes11¢ | $27 |
| 356d | XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $10 |
| 357d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | BuyYes4¢ | $4 |
| 357d | Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $3 |
| 357d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $15 |
| 357d | Maduro out in 2025? | BuyYes25¢ | $14 |
| 357d | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes12¢ | $30 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.