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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318d | 0xf243 | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9? | Buy25bps cut>99¢ | $1,354 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 318d | aviato3 fills | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9? | Buy25bps cut>99¢ | $5,627 | +$28 +0.5% | 10 |
| 319d |  cy6erpunker | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9? | Buy25bps cut>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 319d |  HowToBasic | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9? | Buy25bps cut>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 324d | OvakDjokovic | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9? | Sell25bps cut98¢ → 100¢ | $2,352 | −$48 −2.0% | — |
| 324d | esac | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9? | Sell25bps cut98¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$23 −2.0% | — |
| 328d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9? | Buy25bps cut98¢ → 100¢ | $3,867 | +$80 +2.1% | 10 |
| 331d | nonkenny902 fills | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9? | Buy25bps cut91¢ → 100¢ | $3,484 | +$332 +9.5% | 10 |
yesworld28717 sharesThis market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25bps cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Tuesday, December 9, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for December 9, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.