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Polymarket wallet 0xfcb4eca1c23a4562a4d2841dfdddf15be8e31171 · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2026 · also shown as Minty-Independent
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,267 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$317 −100% |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyNo25¢ | $317 |
| 234d | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SellYes1¢ | $3 |
| 236d | Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7? | BuyNo10¢ | $60 |
| 237d | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BuyYes50¢ | $99 |
| 247d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $112 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.