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Polymarket wallet 0xfdbfbaf48d242795336c558242a94e95440888ea · on Polymarket since Nov 5, 2025 · also shown as Elastic-Beating
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia CavaliersSettled - ready to redeem | Wright State Raiders | 37 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 43 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 38 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will JD Vance say "Hormuz" during Michigan visit?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Spain | 28 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 184 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129d | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BuySpain54¢ | $15 |
| 178d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BuyUp53¢ | $5 |
| 178d | Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $5 |
| 178d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BuyNo71¢ | $10 |
| 182d | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BuyNo27¢ | $10 |
| 206d | Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BuyNo66¢ | $23 |
| 206d | Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BuyYes14¢ | $25 |
| 206d | Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BuyNo66¢ | $25 |
| 209d | Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5) | SellConnecticut Huskies>99¢ | $20 |
| 209d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo41¢ | $10 |
| 209d | Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5) | BuyConnecticut Huskies52¢ | $10 |
| 216d | Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers | BuyWright State Raiders27¢ | $10 |
| 218d | Will JD Vance say "Hormuz" during Michigan visit? | BuyYes19¢ | $10 |
| 218d | VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels | BuyVCU Rams43¢ | $10 |
| 218d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BuyDown23¢ | $10 |
| 218d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.