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Polymarket wallet 0xfed16f19166b6646596af1194b00efc20c0c814b · on Polymarket since Aug 3, 2024 · also shown as Thorny-Hardship
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 33¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +203% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,102 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,047 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Club Tijuana vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,380 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,501 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,087 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Levante UD vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 14 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.