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Polymarket wallet 0xfed251b9ce5506f3f7e9d4e76dac0f64bf31cfa8 · on Polymarket since Sep 9, 2025 · also shown as Difficult-Ball
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 9¢ → 100¢ | $33 | +$30 +1011% |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 57¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +75% |
| Canada recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +54% |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +50% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +45% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +27% |
| Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 20 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.