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Polymarket wallet 0xff2f3fb040b9acaa51eff2c79a4086bbefcf987b · on Polymarket since Jan 15, 2026 · also shown as Self-Reliant-Astrakhan
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Silkeborg IF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BuyYes44¢ | $2 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo3¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Silkeborg IF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver1¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BuyUp28¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BuyNo4¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BuyUp34¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BuyDown69¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BuyUp33¢ | $5 |
| 282d | US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.