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Polymarket wallet 0xfff4a55cab24ff1a695afa6ab6088094e2a8623e · on Polymarket since Feb 11, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 148 | 24¢ → 29¢ | $43 | +$8 +24% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 18¢ | $23 | +$13 +128% |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 71 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Vox receive between 20% and 22% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 37 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $9 | −$1 −15% |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?Ends in 13d | No | 32 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 31 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7?Ends in 13d | No | 38 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.8% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46m | Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by October 25, 2026? | SellYes1¢ | $1 |
| 12h | Will Vox receive between 20% and 22% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BuyYes27¢ | $10 |
| 12h | Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30? | BuyYes16¢ | $5 |
| 12h | Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7? | BuyNo13¢ | $5 |
| 13h | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ | $57 |
| 1d | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $10 |
| 1d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo67¢ | $20 |
| 1d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo67¢ | $19 |
| 1d | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 1d | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyNo24¢ | $36 |
| 2d | Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7? | BuyNo15¢ | $5 |
| 2d | Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by October 25, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.