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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet | 53% | −5 pts | −27 pts | 49¢ · 56¢ (7¢) | $222 | in 8d |
| Microsoft | 45% | +4 pts | +25 pts | 43¢ · 47¢ (4¢) | $398 | in 8d |
| Apple | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $63 | in 8d |
| NVIDIA | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Tesla | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Amazon | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Broadcom | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| SpaceX | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | Microsoft | BuyNo97¢ → 55¢ | $9,748 | −$4,221 −43% | 6 |
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 53¢ for Alphabet means the market gives it about 53%.