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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 10% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | $202 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | thoodr | December 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 91¢ | $1,380 | −$23 −1.6% | 25 |
| 29d |  KnightianUncertainty | December 31 | SellNo91¢ | $1,032 | +$7 +0.7% | — |
| 44d |  Sylvester.the.Cat3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 91¢ | $7,857 | +$518 +6.6% | 30 |
| 53d | thoodr6 fills | Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,096 | +$525 +3.3% | 20 |
| 57d | MonkeyBrains123 | Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$8 +0.8% | 20 |
| 57d | dromedaryy3 fills | Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $8,557 | +$5,704 +67% | 22 |
| 84d |  C6H6 | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 84d | 0x8931…a90c | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 86d |  KioskJammer | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,078 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 86d | Circular-Wifi | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,321 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 87d | thoodr3 fills | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,722 | +$93 +1.4% | 20 |
| 88d | momo513 | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,226 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 88d |  Mantzuraj | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 89d |  DerDon | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,189 | +$54 +2.5% | 20 |
| 89d | Mantzuraj | December 31 | SellNo80¢ → 91¢ | $1,104 | −$145 −13% | — |
| 90d | BillGross | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,312 | +$57 +2.5% | 20 |
| 91d | Circular-Wifi | December 31 | BuyYes18¢ → 10¢ | $1,000 | −$460 −46% | 40 |
| 95d | humzasehbai | December 31 | BuyYes28¢ → 10¢ | $1,951 | −$1,283 −66% | 43 |
Sylvester.the.Cat17,652 shares
ooops2,853 shares
archaic2,141 shares
ScottyNooo1,542 shares
CarolBeer700 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 10¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 10%.