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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | −3 pts | −5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| November 30 | 100% | −12 pts | −21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 30 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 15 | 100% | 0 pts | −12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| November 7 | 0% | 0 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 21 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 342d |  Allinnothing2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,528 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d |  UwO | November 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,145 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | UwO | November 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,201 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | Allinnothing2 fills | November 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,517 | +$32 +1.3% | 4 |
| 342d |  bamesjond | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,250 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | bamesjond2 fills | November 21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,223 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | bamesjond3 fills | November 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,232 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 342d | elgogd | November 15 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,816 | −$69 −3.8% | — |
| 342d | bamesjond | November 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,776 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d |  classified | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 342d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | November 15 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$29 +2.4% | 4 |
| 342d |  tsybka | November 15 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,773 | +$149 +5.4% | 4 |
| 342d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | November 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 342d | Small-Garment | November 15 | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 4 |
| 342d | bolla-577 | November 15 | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $3,451 | −$1,516 −44% | — |
| 342d | 0xb00f…f7d3 | November 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 342d |  DumplingBMF2 fills | November 30 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,385 | +$428 +13% | 4 |
| 342d | DumplingBMF3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $10,543 | +$993 +9.4% | 4 |
| 342d | DumplingBMF | November 15 | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$1,249 +112% | 4 |
| 342d | GrayCat | November 15 | BuyNo>99¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 343d | nsblfv0ipdwll | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,512 | −$2,512 −100% | 4 |
| 343d | hektp9rzbrdy4 | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,497 | −$2,497 −100% | 4 |
| 343d | mobfmsisel9lt | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,505 | −$2,505 −100% | 4 |
| 343d | ohclfwcpfmfi3 | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 4 |
| 344d | srtutr45uyjersdf | November 15 | SellNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,019 | +$2,019 +100% | — |
| 344d | rti54wstrtf | November 15 | SellNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,109 | +$2,109 +100% | — |
| 344d | auy5efgutfr | November 15 | SellNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,961 | +$1,961 +100% | — |
| 344d | srtutr45uyjersdf | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,024 | −$2,024 −100% | 4 |
| 344d | rti54wstrtf | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,114 | −$2,114 −100% | 4 |
| 344d | auy5efgutfr | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,965 | −$1,965 −100% | 4 |
| 344d | szujj75657u54er | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,111 | −$2,111 −100% | 4 |
| 344d | tfujesa475u6tr | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,013 | −$2,013 −100% | 4 |
| 344d | tujh5se4u68ry | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,973 | −$1,973 −100% | 4 |
| 344d | elPolloLoco3 fills | November 30 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $4,319 | +$1,202 +28% | 4 |
| 344d | perpetialHilod | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 344d | fastviking2 fills | November 30 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,775 | +$754 +27% | 4 |
| 344d | aff3 | November 15 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $7,375 | −$7,375 −100% | 4 |
| 345d | WEAP0N | November 30 | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | −$564 −47% | — |
| 345d |  Kratos- | November 30 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$640 +49% | 4 |
| 345d | 7on2 fills | November 15 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $3,139 | −$3,139 −100% | 4 |
| 346d | erriccc | December 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $13,232 | +$1,109 +8.4% | 4 |
| 346d |  TheFBIAgent | November 15 | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $1,347 | −$1,347 −100% | 4 |
| 347d | elPolloLoco | December 31 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,071 | +$304 +9.9% | 4 |
| 348d | Mdubovski | November 15 | SellNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,973 | +$1,973 +100% | — |
| 348d | Mdubovski | November 30 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $4,312 | −$1,437 −33% | — |
| 349d |  siick | November 30 | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $2,497 | −$2,497 −100% | 8 |
| 349d | Artemion | December 31 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,783 | −$246 −8.9% | — |
| 349d | Mdubovski | December 31 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | +$127 +6.4% | 4 |
| 350d | Mdubovski | November 30 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,750 +44% | 4 |
| 350d | Mdubovski | November 15 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 350d | 123erty3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $7,725 | +$2,418 +31% | 4 |
| 350d | Pavlikravlik | November 7 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 351d | 123erty | November 30 | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $2,383 | −$2,087 −88% | — |
| 351d | Flaky-Contrary | November 7 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 351d |  Dapsy | December 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$261 +8.7% | 4 |
| 352d | 7on | November 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,861 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 352d | JoeBlack01 | December 31 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | −$99 −8.7% | — |
| 352d | nonkenny90 | December 31 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$114 +6.4% | 4 |
| 352d | Prox | November 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$15 +1.2% | 4 |
| 354d | makeadream | November 7 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$64 +5.8% | 4 |
Joe-Biden15,220 shares
loser32113,988 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between Vatutina Vulytsya and Puhachova Vulytsya located in Myrnohrad by September 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad+intersection+zoom.png Intersection Location in Myrnohrad: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad+intersection.jpeg Myrnohrad Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/qCLFQNiDKN2ABe5Q9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.