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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Lamb | 100% | +14 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jay Feely | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Travis Grantham | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Keenan | 0% | −14 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93d |  Flipadelphia | Mark Lamb | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,819 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 94d | 0xcb14…bd17 | Mark Lamb | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | +$235 +13% | 10 |
| 98d |  Rambaldi.seeker | Mark Lamb | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$391 +15% | 10 |
| 100d |  mrworldwide | Mark Lamb | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$181 +12% | 10 |
| 100d | mrworldwide | Daniel Keenan | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$146 +12% | 10 |
| 330d | 20251021 | Jay Feely | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,795 | +$200 +5.3% | 10 |
| 330d |  .jeet | Jay Feely | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$200 +5.3% | 10 |
| 330d | 20251021 | Jay Feely | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $3,440 | −$3,440 −100% | 10 |
| 330d | .jeet | Jay Feely | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $3,440 | −$3,440 −100% | 10 |
LiquidatedDegen1,518 sharesThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mark Lamb means the market gives it about 100%.