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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +8 pts | +58 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 441d | Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$33 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 442d | Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$243 +14% | 20 | |
| 442d | Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$332 +27% | 20 | |
| 443d | Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,854 | +$678 +37% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a formal peace agreement is publicly announced between Armenia and Azerbaijan by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Armenia and Azerbaijan each need to publicly announce their commitment to a qualifying agreement, regardless of whether or when that agreement takes effect. The primary resolution source will be official government statements from Armenia and Azerbaijan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.