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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176d | Potlood | Ben Pasternak jailed? | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,237 | −$49 −4.0% | — |
| 178d | Koutras | Ben Pasternak jailed? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $3,344 | −$86 −2.6% | — |
| 179d | Unequaled-Charset | Ben Pasternak jailed? | BuyNo81¢ → 98¢ | $1,255 | +$253 +20% | 2 |
| 182d |  willsom | Ben Pasternak jailed? | BuyNo61¢ → 98¢ | $1,061 | +$655 +62% | 2 |
PSANIX1,106 shares
GrokEnjoyer438 shares
Pre-rich-dude200 shares
APaintnobroke300 shares
horatio199 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 2%.