| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 218d | No | 14,823 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $12,674 | +$1,073 +9.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 14,443 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $10,471 | +$772 +8.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 11,499 | 61¢ → 78¢ | $8,911 | +$1,926 +28% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 9,743 | 89¢ → 77¢ | $7,453 | −$1,262 −14% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 5,220 | 90¢ → 81¢ | $4,252 | −$431 −9.2% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 4,444 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $3,837 | +$56 +1.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3,894 | 69¢ → 95¢ | $3,680 | +$996 +37% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 5,555 | 77¢ → 66¢ | $3,639 | −$639 −15% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 5,185 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $3,292 | +$100 +3.1% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 3,192 | 59¢ → 93¢ | $2,953 | +$1,073 +57% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,776 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $2,360 | +$101 +4.5% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,222 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $2,143 | +$54 +2.6% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,222 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $2,140 | +$22 +1.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 2,267 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $2,131 | +$227 +12% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,215 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $2,130 | +$26 +1.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,444 | 52¢ → 86¢ | $2,090 | +$823 +65% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,222 | 62¢ → 66¢ | $1,455 | +$78 +5.6% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,718 | 43¢ → 83¢ | $1,417 | +$673 +90% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,222 | 51¢ → 64¢ | $1,411 | +$278 +25% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,451 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,405 | +$91 +6.9% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,222 | 48¢ → 42¢ | $922 | −$144 −14% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 2,222 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $900 | +$100 +13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 3,362 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $891 | −$84 −8.6% |
| Will Clavicular visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 856 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $816 | +$137 +20% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 777 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $761 | +$161 +27% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,111 | 78¢ → 66¢ | $728 | −$139 −16% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,111 | 39¢ → 64¢ | $705 | +$272 +63% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 725 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $678 | +$141 +26% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 736 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $640 | +$173 +37% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 1,111 | 40¢ → 53¢ | $583 | +$139 +31% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 1,153 | 26¢ → 46¢ | $533 | +$238 +81% |
| Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 652 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $511 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 555 | 70¢ → 90¢ | $498 | +$109 +28% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,111 | 41¢ → 43¢ | $472 | +$17 +3.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 473 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $457 | +$76 +20% |
| Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 471 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $436 | +$8 +1.9% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 444 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $422 | +$104 +33% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 506 | 60¢ → 76¢ | $385 | +$79 +26% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 398 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $380 | +$62 +20% |
| Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 456 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $372 | +$20 +5.7% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 382 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $371 | +$28 +8.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 666 | 20¢ → 52¢ | $345 | +$214 +163% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 335 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $322 | +$61 +23% |
| Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 379 | 68¢ → 84¢ | $317 | +$59 +23% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 388 | 51¢ → 78¢ | $301 | +$103 +52% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 444 | 36¢ → 68¢ | $300 | +$140 +88% |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 298 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $293 | +$25 +9.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 444 | 61¢ → 66¢ | $291 | +$20 +7.4% |
| Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 303 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $257 | +$43 +20% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 333 | 58¢ → 75¢ | $248 | +$55 +28% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 1,898 | 42¢ → 13¢ | $247 | −$550 −69% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 257 | 70¢ → 94¢ | $242 | +$62 +35% |
| Will AI solve the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 251 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $232 | +$14 +6.3% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 241 | 74¢ → 92¢ | $222 | +$42 +24% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 222 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $211 | +$20 +10% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 222 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $195 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 222 | 48¢ → 75¢ | $165 | +$59 +55% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 555 | 31¢ → 26¢ | $145 | −$27 −16% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,111 | 39¢ → 12¢ | $128 | −$306 −71% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 132 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $124 | +$18 +17% |
| Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 153 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $108 | −$6 −5.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,898 | 34¢ → 3¢ | $77 | −$920 −92% |
| Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 91 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $76 | +$2 +3.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 832 | 54¢ → 9¢ | $74 | −$375 −84% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 444 | 34¢ → 16¢ | $71 | −$80 −53% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,111 | 16¢ → 6¢ | $67 | −$111 −63% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 333 | 28¢ → 20¢ | $65 | −$28 −30% |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 65 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $57 | +$5 +10% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 111 | 53¢ → 51¢ | $56 | −$3 −4.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 222 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $49 | +$7 +16% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 280 | 85¢ → 16¢ | $45 | −$194 −81% |
| Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $43 | +$4 +9.5% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 51¢ → 71¢ | $36 | +$10 +39% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,111 | 57¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$601 −95% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,111 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $31 | −$147 −83% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 222 | 18¢ → 10¢ | $21 | −$19 −47% |
| Will Clavicular visit China in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 32¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$13 +196% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 22 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $18 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 68d | Yes | 111 | 39¢ → 16¢ | $18 | −$25 −59% |
| Ben Pasternak jailed?Ends in 69d | Yes | 438 | 63¢ → 2¢ | $10 | −$267 −97% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 55 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $9 | −$6 −37% |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 222 | 67¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$142 −96% |
| Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 556 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$1 −15% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 55 | 28¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$13 −84% |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 111 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −99% |
